A developing low-pressure system off Mexico’s Pacific coast has an 80% chance of becoming Tropical Storm Barbara this week, according to Mexico’s National Water Commission (Conagua). The system is currently located approximately 515 kilometers south-southeast of Salina Cruz, Oaxaca.
The disturbance is moving west-northwestward at 16 km/h over warm waters of 28°–29° Celsius, with forecasters indicating it could develop into a tropical depression by the end of the week. If sustained winds reach 65 km/h, it will be upgraded to Tropical Storm Barbara, becoming the second named storm of the 2025 Eastern Pacific hurricane season after Tropical Storm Alvin.
Even without developing into a full tropical storm, the system threatens coastal areas of Guerrero, Michoacán, and Oaxaca with heavy rainfall of 75 to 100 mm. Officials warn that soil saturation from recent rains increases the risk of flash flooding and mudslides, particularly in mountainous regions.
No coastal watches are currently active, but authorities are urging residents in affected areas to prepare emergency kits and stay alert to official updates. The Pacific hurricane season, which began May 15 and runs through November 30, is forecast to produce between 16 and 20 named storms this year, including four to six major hurricanes.
Travelers planning to visit Mexico’s Pacific coast this week should monitor weather updates closely and check with local accommodations regarding any potential safety measures or travel disruptions.
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